OBAMA OBuMmer!

26 07 2008

 Why Obama I ask… a post put up by my dear friend Abir asked a very plain question… Why Him, What Has He Done?

Seems more people are joining the bandwagon without doing their research on whether he deserves this publicity and mass appeal, sure he can deliver a speech, but can he deliver a country from economic downfall!

His recent speech in Berlin was a crowd puller just like JFK and Ronald Regan… but did he address anything important? I’m wondering if people across the world are even listening and wondering if this guy is who he claims to be once he is president or just an excellent orator out to win what will become history as the first African-American president of the United States.

His so called world tour only concentrated certain parts of the Middle East (for vested interests – Oil, you bum!) and the European Union… whatever happened to The “WORLD” Tour… beyond these areas exist economic and manufacturing powerhouses like India and China, a good “economically” sensible president would have surely visited the other members of the G10.

Lets hope this guy thinks before he opens his mouth once in the Oval office of the White House, America has already suffered enough with the Texan quick draw and shoot first regime of Bushwhacked George.

Good Luck to the citizens of America for the coming elections and Godspeed!





Why Petroleum will touch $200 a barrel ($6 a gallon) and what does this mean to you?

14 07 2008

Commodity prices are rising every fortnight with gasoline prices being the hot topic of discussion; it seems only fair we too write about it…

Recently I posted a question thru the well renowned LinkedIn website and the response was overwhelming… it seems everyone in every country is concerned, if you are not; here is a reason for you to start worrying…

As prices increase, so will the goods around you, in the US alone, prices of common goods will go up as the economy highly depends on road transportation to get deliveries across from coast to coast.

As my friend Dhruv and I discussed; One might not feel the pinch instantaneously as this is merely a strategy by energy organizations to profiteer by making you comfortable at a certain level, raise it by a percent of two and again stabilize till they reach the hilt of their greed, there is no oil crisis, no one wants to stop trade, no attacks on pipelines, just pure business, remember “Syriana” anyone?

Maybe I’m just speculating, but I am concerned at the geopolitical and corporate profiteering aspect of the whole game… The same follow-through occurred in the 70s and OPEC was formulated to basically share the profits of the energy crunch. Seems Shirley Bassey was right in the whole History Repeating routine… The world moved to more fuel efficient cars, electric vehicles were too introduced… but all was lost with the whole Hippy fiasco that hit the late 70s and progress into eco-friendly objectives just became a mere fad at the time. Let’s hope we get it right this time around!

What’s causing this? Well, No emphasis on extraction techniques on and off shore and high dependence on just a few countries to deliver black gold to the world is a major factor. High demand for this fossil fuel is stirring up a ruckus as energy requirements are and will increase the world over and petroleum will formulate 85% of the energy mix by 2030 as suggested by OPEC officials last Thursday.

Like a coin, this too has a positive side;

Finally, People will show interest in alternative energy sources which are eco friendly and cost effective… ventures like Bio Diesel, Power cell, Windmills and Solar Energy Harvesting will become a part of the government’s agenda… Nuclear power will also become an important and noteworthy source, but controversies will always shard this source and will be tightly governed by the G10 Summit.

Carbon Credit Traders and Trading countries will benefit from this fuel racket as well, making this so-called non-existent yet universally accepted commodity to take the forefront in energy trading.

Services Industry – Outsourcing will become prime beneficiary as companies will rather depend on cross cultural BPO setups to provide expertise as staffing will become more expensive.

 





The Week Ahead: Anarchy

7 07 2008

Inflation to Hit 12%+ this Week! And Unlucky 13% by the end of July or so…

What does this mean… pack your bags and run! RUN!

Fill up all your fuel tanks and store them for a rainy day with commodity prices hiking to the hilt as Petroleum hits $146 a barrel. Today, Debt Investment Returns are lower than the current inflation rate. The willing Investor has but only one choice – Structured Products – What are they? A series of long-term investments targeting HNIs as the effort put in on the research of the investments itself is not justified by small scale individual investors… each Structured Product has it’s own managing team constantly tracking the portfolio, but banks like Kotak Mahindra and HSBC MESA (Middle East and South Asia) have worked out such schemes in the midst of all this chaos in the market. Do your own research before entering into one… its boiling water in the markets out there! Cheers!

Structured Products and Individual Investors – Where to Run Now?





Our Reliance on the Brothers’ Whim!

16 06 2008

As the elder brother gets wiser, the younger becomes more and more ambitious, no doubt that the younger sibling has the drive of the late almighty Dhirubhai but the sound mind went to the former one.

Anil (better as NIL) rushes over to buy 35% stake of African Telecom giant – MTN, his R-COMM stock seems to be taking a beating as people are beginning to question if they can handle the exponential growth. Little advice from the big mouth of finance, bro, “Clean Up Your Closet Before Adding New Clothes!” – quoting thyself satisfies the soul!

On the other hand, big brother of the Ambani familial, Mukesh seems to always hit it right with the stock sentiments, recently, in his address to stakeholders, he has drawn out the layout for delivery of Gasoline at $25 per barrel of Crude… Thank god I can drive my fuel sucking second hand Beemer in peace… not that I have anywhere to go!

The big boy also states that exports of polyester have grown 49% which is compounded over last 5 years… simply put, they are shooting sky high! And their long-term plan of offshore rigs for petroleum has finally found a drill team to excavate and extract crude from 4 basins in the gulf, more fuel, more flow and better numbers for the stocks on the first born’s end.

It will be Monday morning in a few hours, let’s hope alls well and we dont see anchors on the sensex this early into the week… good luck!





Friday The 13th

13 06 2008

Strong Fundamentals were not able to predict this downfall. Now, we rely on the Technical Charts to see where the market is heading. Nifty 4400 is the support everyone is talking about but as I see it, we might go under like Red October! Nifty 4000 is my personal prediction from which the bounce back should occur, but one can never be too careful!

These are dark times and Short Selling is the way to go… trade stocks where future seems clear. I am banking on the power sector, particularly alternate power of the likes of Suzlon Energy. Reliance power also seems to be burning the midnight oil and getting back to climbing out of this mess, but mass traders still haven’t renewed faith in their workings.